Sunday, May 31, 2020

13 Aug 1966


I was nine years old on this sunny summer day. I was playing up on the Elliot Bluff in Pittsburgh when I realized that I may be late. Mom said to be home for dinner at 4:30 and I was pretty sure that it was after that time. I did wonder why Mom didn't come looking for me, or call out to me, but I just figured that I was going to get a whooping for being late to dinner, and her silence meant it was going to be a bad punishment.

I came along the front of the house at 302 Fairview Avenue, looking at the flowers that Mr. Carouthers tended. He had two large glass houses behind the main house. I knew this because Mom and I lived in the basement apartment to this home, which had an entry in the rear of the building. I also recall looking at the morning glories growing on the block wall across from the entrance that led to our kitchen. I remembered that Mom had been stung by a bee just yesterday, and I hoped that she had healed from that sting.

I had prepared the words a thousand times on my walk home: "I'm sorry, Mom!"; "Mom, I'm sorry..."; "Mom, I was having fun and ..."; "I'm so so sorry that I'm late, Mom!" I spoke one of these when I opened the door, but as I looked, I stopped mid-sentence. Lying on the floor was Mom, she had evidently been painting the kitchen floor. It was a brick red color, and she had slumped into the wet paint in front of the stove. I kept calling, "Mom!" as I knelt down and rolled Mom onto her left side. Her skin was a strange color... more blue that pink. As I rolled her, her jaw fell slack and down to the left. Her eyes were open, but hollow. The tears started and even the the thought of this moment makes me cry over fifty years later. I let gravity roll Mom back to the prone posture that she was in when I originally found her.

In a flash, I ran from the kitchen, through the dining/living room, and into the bedroom. Mom and I shared the bedroom - two small single beds. I used the phone and called Mick, my elder brother.. My voice cried and quivered through my sobs, "Mick, Mom's dead! Mom's dead!!" Mick asked where I was and he told me to go upstairs to the Carouthers' and tell Mister Carouthers what I had seen. 

So I did. I hung up the phone and used the internal stairs from the furnace area that led upstairs. I was still sobbing as I knocked at the door. Mr. Carouthers opened it and I looked up at him and mouthed, "My Mom's dead!" He looked at me, and I looked at him and tried again, "Mom's dead!" This time, he knew what I had said despite the tears, sobbing and cracks in my voice. He left me with his wife, Ruby, who was handicapped after having a stroke. We sat and I cried. Mr. Carouthers reappeared at the top of the stairs and Mrs. Carouthers looked toward him. He lowered his head and shook it slowly side to side. 

Mr. Carouthers asked if I had told anyone, and I told him that I had called Mick, calling out the phone number that I had memorized. Mr. Carouthers then tried to call Mick, but he couldn't get him. He then called the police. 

Much of the rest of that evening was a blur. Mick and Dorth, his wife, showed up and I remember talking to the police, but it was through tears and cries of "I want my Mom!" Eventually, as the sun was setting, Mick told Dorth to take me to their apartment. I would be staying there. I didn't want to leave, I really didn't want to leave my Mom, but then I found myself walking hand-in-hand with 19-year-old Dorothy. My tears were her tears, too. We walked down the hill, hand-in-hand to their apartment on Lorenz Avenue. I cried the whole way. Dorothy had just become my Mom.

Saturday, May 30, 2020

20200530 - Corona Virus Part 11


Welcome to another installment from our tin can by the sea. Wendy and I are doing well amid the self-isolation that is COVID-19. We are still healthy, though the aches and pains seem to be a bit more chronic now that we're not getting around as much. Most of our meals are Wendy specials or redo's of something we got as take-out from a local restaurant. One of our favorites so far is from Einstein Bagels: the egg-white, avocado, tomato, and bacon on an onion bagel breakfast. It has been a staple for us so far. We have also switched coffees - well, decaf coffee, at least - to Chock Full of Nuts Midtown Decaf. It is a great tasting coffee - Wendy prefers it to Eight O'clock decafe, which was our "go-to". Florida is opening up a bit more, with hair salons and the like opening up. The picture to the left is from UnaCast's site, where they graded the states (and counties) on social distancing. The basis for their measurement is the GPS reporting from cell phones. Well, our state is failing, which is why we are staying at home even though the governments wish for us to assume life as usual and spend, spend, spend - so they can tax, tax, tax. I do wish that I could resume normal life, since my daughter and her son are over on the space coast about to watch the SpaceX launch this afternoon. I would love to be able to give them a hug. Then the "buts" - in my sixties, heart disease, COPD, MS, etc., and I realize that I need to be very careful. I could easily become a quotable statistic on some guy's blog.
Cases Deaths

On to the numbers, then - Worldwide: 6,086,344 cases (+13.8%) with 368,462 deaths (+8.1%); USA: 1,802,180 cases (+9.3%) with 104,786 deaths (+7.2%); Florida: 55,424 cases (+10.6%) with 2,447 deaths (+11.7%); Pinellas county: 1,238 cases (+10.9%) with 82 deaths (+12.3%). The percentages in parentheses are the increases since last week's report. In the US, the number of daily cases and the number of daily deaths are decreasing. 
I'll break out a bit of process control geek-speak, it is a dampened response with a critically dampened harmonic. The cycle of the critically dampened harmonic is weekly with the peak occurring on Fridays for the daily number of cases and Tuesdays for the daily number of deaths. I'm not sure why those days, but I'm interested in the overall dampened response. Using the US numbers, both of these charts appear to be asymptotic - they are going to level off. It's hard to determine if the inflection point - where the overall curve begins leveling - has occurred yet or not. I may deconstruct and reconstitute this data, removing the weekly variation. It'll be a project for next week. 

Dr. Mike Ryan of the World Health Organization, put forward this past week that there is the possibility that even with a vaccine, the Sars-CoV-2 virus may never go away. It may become endemic - like the common cold viruses, measles, HIV, and the flu. This floored me. Big Pharma wins. Treatments rather than cures. That would mean that I would need encounter clothing anytime I came in contact with people. That would nix dinners and get togethers. I had a dream back in February, when the isolation began, about me dying in an isolation room in a hospital. There was a window that I could see people - colored images of them - peering through the glass. I had a a ventilator on and I so much wanted to touch my wife and say goodbye. And then I woke with a start! This world that Dr. Ryan is eluding to would be worse than that! I could be with people, but at a distance. For.ever. While paying Big Pharma a fee so I don't die. 

On to the economy - gas is holding at $1.85/gal at the local 7/11. The DJIA was flat, starting Monday morning at 25324 and ending Friday afternoon at 25366. Some of the headlines from the past week involve ventilators that were obtained from a sanctioned company in Russia that don't work and China is ceasing the experiment with Hong Kong. An additional two million Americans filed for unemployment, bringing the total to about 40 million unemployed since the beginning of March. 

The President was the unhappy recipient of this piece of twitter decoration. Posts that he made were deemed false and misleading regarding mail-in ballots, so the folks at twitter put this on his posts. If you click on it on the actual post, it takes you to a website with facts regarding mail-in ballots. This sent him into a tirade to have congress remove section 230 of the FCC Communication Decency Act. As a follow up, after the riots and mayhem that were caused because of the death of George Floyd, our President posted a tweet that was removed, and then it reappeared with one of these.
What happened to George Floyd was murder, in my opinion. Derek Chauvin killed him. The other three officers are also guilty of murder. They did not help, and let him die. There will be a courtroom trial at some point, but it will not eradicate this. This problem is pervasive - is is bigotry and racism at every level. It is a court system that exonerates minority lives lost at the hands of the state. The principal characters are the District Attorneys. They may be elected or appointed. Even if elected, the campaign is largely a beauty contest with most voters not even looking behind the names or pictures on the ballot. That's where I take ownership. I have only begun voting recently, and I look into the character of the people I'm electing. Granted, I use the media, but I do use several sources. For the hundreds of others like George Floyd, I have let them down. Should I join the rioting anarchists that have been bused in by special interest to leave a mark on the city of Minneapolis? No. What then Officer Chauvin did was wrong and what these mercenary rioters are doing is just as wrong. A man dies, so that gives you the right to commit arson and grand theft? On people that weren't involved? And to top it off, the residents of the neighborhood came out the next morning with brooms, dustpans, and bags, and cleaned up the filth left from the paid thugs. I don't understand the whys, but I will not forgive the hows. By ignoring these atrocities, we are condoning them.
Now have you ever seen the white teeth gleam
While you lie on a cold damp ground
You're taking in the face of a rifle butt
While the wardens hold you down
And you've never seen a friend in years
Oh, it turns your heart to stone
You jump the walls and the dogs run free
And the grave's gonna be your home
- Elton John, Have mercy on the criminal, Don't Shoot me, I'm only the Piano Player, 1973

Exodus 20:13

Monday, May 25, 2020

2020 Memorial Day

The following events occurred on May 17, 1987 during peacetime. I commemorate this Memorial day to those lost on the USS Stark that day in 1987. I was an Electronics Technician Second Class in Yokosuka, and I heard about it on Monday morning, the 18th, after celebrating my birthday the weekend before. I had just become thirty. This is an excerpt of the history of the USS Stark.

Stark stood out of Mina Salman at 0510 on 17 May 1987, in preparation for receiving the Gas Turbine Mobile Training Team on 19 May. She cleared restricted navigational waters by 0930 and proceeded to patrol an area west of the Iranian-declared exclusion zone. Stark steamed with bright navigational lighting, as required by international rules of the road. The frigate participated in what the Navy later announced as a “two-way computer data exchange” with La SalleCoontz, and a USAF Boeing E-3A Sentry Airborne Warning and Control System (AWACS). These crewmen relayed to each other relevant information concerning airborne contacts such as geographical position, course, speed, altitude, and assumed or confirmed identity. The AWACs reported an unknown aircraft flying south over the Arabian Gulf at about 1700. At 1743, Coontz reported this aircraft bearing 285º at a range of 120 nautical miles from Stark. The frigate detected the contact on radar fifteen minutes later, bearing 260º and closing at a range of 70 nautical miles. A dusty haze hung heavily in the air as the sun began to set.

The Iraqis had launched a Dassault F.1EQ-5-200 Mirage equipped with two AM.39 Exocet air-to-ground missiles, however, and the pilot maneuvered aggressively, apparently intent on attacking what he believed to be a tanker servicing the Iranian oil trade. Coontz noted that the Mirage turned to an easterly heading at 1800, flying at a speed of 290 knots at an altitude of 3,000 feet. Stark came about to a course of 300º at ten knots, near 26º47’N, 51º55’E. Coontz then reported on the net: “Iraqi aircraft bearing 043º, range 45 nautical miles, course 066º, speed 335 knots, altitude 3,000 feet, heading toward Stark.” La Salle queried Stark as to whether she monitored the intruder, to which the frigate replied, “Affirmative.” Stark’s AN/SLQ-32(V) electronic support measures system then detected a radar signal, which her sailors evaluated as a search mode airborne fire control radar, and correlated the signal to the Iraqi jet, bearing 269º but closing at 27 nautical miles. Stark issued a warning by voice radio over the military distress net (243 MHz), identifying herself as a U.S. Navy warship -- and when the jet closed to only 12 miles -- repeating the warning within a minute.

The Iraqi disregarded the warnings, and from 1808–1810 the Sentry observed the Mirage bank sharply to the right and increase speed as the jet launched a pair of Exocets. Almost simultaneously, Stark detected the Iraqi’s fire control radar lock on to the ship, and her port lookout spotted a missile inbound. The frigate sounded General Quarters and locked her fire control onto the jet (1809–1810), but mere seconds later the first missile slammed into the port side nearly 13 feet above the waterline, under the port bridge wing and at about Frame 100, on the second deck. The Exocet did not detonate but tore into the ship, severing the firefighting water lines to the forward part of the ship, and breaking apart and spilling volatile fuel. About 25 seconds later the second missile hit a few feet aft of but nearly in the same location and exploded in Crew Compartment 2-100-0-L, the fuel from the first missile feeding its fiery detonation. The shock of the hits tore fixtures from bulkheads and wrecked equipment. The heat from the fires and the acrid and blinding smoke impeded damage control efforts, and flames melted aluminum superstructure and decks. Men off watch asleep in their racks awoke to an inferno and screamed as they died.

Lt. William A. Conklin, the ship’s 27-year-old Damage Control Assistant, had just completed a long day of watches and at sea routine and settled into his rack for some eagerly awaited sleep when the first missile struck with a crashing roar. Conklin leapt to his feet and rapidly donned coveralls and shoes as the bridge passed a chilling order over the 1MC: “Inbound missile, port side, all hands brace for shock.” The second Exocet struck the ship, and the lieutenant raced for his battle station in Damage Control Central, where he learned to his horror that the attacks all but severed the fire-fighting system. The blaze reached super-heated temperatures and threatened the ship, so Conklin and HT1 Michael J. O’Keefe crawled through the fire despite the agonizing pain from the heat and closed the critical firemain valves, isolating the torn pipes. “It was a fight for survival,” O’Keefe later summarized. “I was fighting to stay alive.” The blaze also engulfed the chiefs berthing/lounge, ships store, post office, and barber shop, and damaged other areas. Crewmen used a P-250 pump to supply water to battle the flames in the forward section of the ship, and supplemented their efforts at multiple points by using electric submersible pumps. Sailors felt heat rising from the deck into their feet but bravely directed water onto the flames, only to discover with dismay that the heat turned the water into scalding steam. The men poured so much water onto the frigate that she listed dangerously up to 17 degrees to port from the weight.

The attack severed some of the ship’s communications, so sailors creatively rigged a “salt and pepper” line with sound powered phones between the bridge, aft steering, and the flight deck in order to direct their battle against the conflagration. The fire-fighters realized with horror, however, that they often could not communicate with each other directly, and afterward recommended that the Navy equip ships with hand-held radios or walkie-talkies. Crewmen threw FIM-92 Stinger man portable air defense missiles and .50 cal. rounds overboard to prevent them from exploding. Lt. Carl S. Barbour rescued 28-year-old petty officer James Wheeler moments before the flames reached him. The men used 40 Oxygen Breathing Apparatus canisters (18 above their normal allowance of 22) that provided oxygen for a limited time, but used all of them by 0115 during the mid watch, effectively halting their efforts to fight the blaze until a boat from Waddell (DDG-24) and another from La Salle brought them additional canisters within the hour. Firefighting teams from other ships also rotated through, relieving Stark’s exhausted crewmen. The thick black smoke blocked emergency lighting and reduced compartments below deck to total darkness, but men used flood lanterns to illuminate some of the darkened compartments and passageways, though battle lanterns and helmet lanterns failed to pierce the Stygian gloom. In addition, live electrical wires torn from their housings burned men. The attack destroyed the ladder ascending to the next deck and as some men ran out of air they chose between the raging fires and the sea and jumped out the hole torn by the impact of the second missile. A lookout tossed them a life ring while Stark continued on and they survived until morning despite recollections of spotting sharks.

Gunner’s Mate Gary Mahone also showed men how to use escape gear but fell through the hole in the confusion. The last time anyone saw OSSN Terrance D. Weldon he appeared to be wounded and in shock. Both men went into the water. Gunner’s Mate Mark Samples courageously stayed in the missile magazine for nearly 13 hours before relief. Despite consistently losing power that reduced the flow of water to a trickle, Samples poured water onto the missiles to prevent the heat from cooking-off their fuel. The GM probably prevented a catastrophic explosion, but the combination of water from all the firefighting efforts resulted in the ship’s settling. The attack killed 36 sailors -- plus one missing (Weldon) -- many of them burned in their racks while sleeping or suffocating from a lack of oxygen:

QMCS Vernon Foster

FTCS Robert L. Shippee

EMCS Stephen G. Kiser

BM1 Bradley O. Brown

OS1 Steven E. Kendall

SM1 Ronnie G. Lockett

GM1 Thomas J. MacMullen

DS1 Randy E. Pierce

FT1 Gregory L. Tweady

ET2 Christopher W. DeAngelis

RM2 Jerry B. Farr

TM2 James R. Stevens

FC3 Jeffrey L. Calkins

OS3 Antonio A. Daniels

IC3 James S. Dunlap

FT3 William R. Hansen

GM3 Daniel Homicki

EW3 Charles T. Moller

GM3 James Plonsky

OS3 Lee Stephens

ET3 Kelly R. Quick

ET3 Martin Supple

EW3 Joseph P. Watson

ET3 Wayne R. Weaver

STSN Steven T. Erwin

RMSN Dexter D. Grissett

OSSN Kenneth D. Janusik Jr.

SMSN Earl P. Ryals

SN Doran H. Bolduc

SN Mark M. Caouette

SN John A. Ciletta Jr.

SN Vincent L. Ulmer

SMSA Jeffrey C. Sibley

FA Lloyd A. Wilson

SR Brian M. Clinefelter

SR Jeffrey L. Phelps

In addition, the battle wounded 21 more men, two of whom suffered serious burns. Stark’s crewmen valorously saved their ship, and demonstrated their intensive damage control training — Cmdr. Brindel had once ordered them to move about blindfolded to simulate the fear and sensory deprivation of battle. Vessels that aided Stark included La SalleCoontzConynghamWaddell, and Reid (FFG-30). Coontz, in particular, provided two firefighting teams to Stark, which also, more grimly, proved instrumental in identifying and removing the dead. Rear Adm. Harold J. Bernsen, Commander MEF, lauded the sacrificial efforts of all involved during the tragedy, but added that “of equal merit,” all hands that rendered assistance “performed valiantly and with spirit.” An SH-3G Sea King of Helicopter Combat Support Squadron (HC) 2 Detachment 2 flew flight surgeon Lt. Cmdr. Terry A. Miller and supplies from Bahrain to the wounded ship, and then searched unsuccessfully for survivors in the water. A commercial salvage tug used her water cannons to cool Stark’s starboard side. Calm seas providentially enveloped Stark during her nearly 18 hour battle for survival and at 2000 on 18 May, Conyngham took the stricken ship in tow to Bahrain. Despite occasional reflashes of the fires the men had extinguished, Stark moored outboard of La Salle at 2330 on 19 May, and within two days returned to an even keel, her men also laboriously offloading ammunition. On 28 May the ship’s Seasprite flew to Stephen W. Groves to complete its deployment on board that frigate. Acadia (AD-42) arrived on 1 June, and Stark shifted her berth to outboard the destroyer tender and began voyage and battle repairs by Bahrain Ship Repair & Engineering Co., and Acadia and Stark’s ships companies.

Saturday, May 23, 2020

20200523 - Corona Virus Part 10

Hello and howdy from our little tin can by the sea. Wendy and I are healthy and surviving the self-isolation brought about by the corona virus, SARS-CoV-2. This past week, all of the states in the US have eased at least some restrictions that were previously in place. Florida is trying to get to "business as usual" as fast as they can, opening up pools and raising the cap for restaurants to 50% occupancy. On the other end of the spectrum, my employer has informed me that we will be working from home "until further notice." The last milestone was "until at least May 31," so this, to me, shows the degree of concern they have for my welfare. It is a large undertaking to implement social distancing guidelines in an office environment. They have explained that even when the offices open back up, there will be an additional amount of work from home. 

This past week was our family's birthday week. It starts with my birthday on the 17th, Wendy's on the 19th, and our great-grandson's on the 21st. The 18th and 20th are "tweeny days" which I celebrate. My brother and his wife celebrated their 50th anniversary last weekend, even though it is actually this weekend. I think the original intent was to be able to book the event site. This weekend is Memorial Day weekend, which would have made it difficult to get a venue. Anyway, no site was needed and we did it through Zoom. I was so happy to see everyone - even my daughter and grandkids showed up. They had trivia, tributes, and a photo scrapbook of events through their lives. It was nice. 

Seeing everyone, and even noticing those that weren't present at the anniversary Zoom meeting, made me realize that I have been a terrible uncle. I send these folks birthday and anniversary cards, but that's it. My niece sent us a wall hanging for our birthdays, and it drove the point home to me. I know that I can't compensate for all the past, but I can change the future, and so I shall.
Cases
Deaths

ScopeCasesDeaths
Worldwide5,347,552340,869
USA1,648,95997,732
Florida50,1272,190
Pinellas county1,11673
Get yer numbas here - red hot numbas! I've gone to a different layout for the "numbas" - a table! It's a bit more frustrating in Blogger because I don't have an easy means to create and edit style sheets, so I'm not sure if this will be a permanent fixture. Here's a summary of the states this past week:
The Good: New York, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania. Both the number of cases as well as the number of deaths are in steep decline.
The Bad: Wisconsin and Illinois. Though deaths are down, the number of cases are skyrocketing for these two states.
The Ugly: Texas. Cases are up 21.8% over the week, with the number of deaths increasing by 12.2%. I don't see an end in sight for this. The governor, Greg Abbott, continues to open up the state despite the increases, so he is following the national mantra.
Two nations have separated from the field for now. Brazil and Russia are having an absurd number of cases. The virus is just beginning in Africa.
The diagram above is from worldometers. I started working from home on March 11th because my employer closed the offices. The last meal out with friends was March 14th. Florida's Safer-at-home order was issued on March 28th. On March 11th, there were eight deaths due to COVID-19, and on March 14th there were ten. The day that the Safer-at-home order was issued, there were 624 deaths in the US due to COVID-19. On May 23rd, the US reported 1,036 deaths. You would have to totally ignore this data to convince yourself that a return to normalcy is warranted at this time. Yet, here we are, with people at beaches and churches filling pews. 
The economy is "rebounding" as best that it can. Locally, gas is $1.85/gal at the local 7/11. The DJIA was down most of the week, then slowly recovered to end up flat. It opened at 24462 on Monday morning and closed at 24443 on Friday afternoon. Hertz Rental Car was the latest big company to file for bankruptcy protection. 2.4 million more people filed for unemployment over the past week - many furloughs are becoming layoffs. 
Normally, I let the politically charged speak for themselves, which usually ends with "open mouth - insert foot," but I'm seeing a dynamic this year which I hadn't noticed in the past. The entire national administration is being used as a propaganda machine. I see studies from CDC on "sunlight" killing corona virus, and DHS touting a study of short lifetimes of corona virus on surfaces. The president has evangelized the merits of hydroxychloroquine though every study using it says that it has no effect on COVID-19 and it has serious risks from heart arrhythmia. This has gone too far, as I have learned that the VA has given this to over 1800 patients and is still prescribing it. Isn't it enough that war didn't kill them, so we'll take a shot at using medicine to finish the job? 
It's been too hard living 
But I'm afraid to die, 
I don't know what's up there 
Beyond the clouds, 

 It's been a long, long time coming, but I know 
A change is gonna come, oh, yes it is 
- Graham Parker, "Change is gonna come", Live Alone in America, 1989

Saturday, May 16, 2020

MIsc Shorts

When I was about 6, my mom bought me a portable record player - this was a major step up from the Fisher-Price toy one with the music box tines - this new record player had needles that you could replace with a set screw to hold them in. With the record player were a few Alvin and the Chipmunk records that played at 78. I was a Theodore fan, and I liked the high pitch of the chipmunk voices. Shortly before Christmas in 1963, mom got me a record with Jingle Bell Rock by Bobby Helms. It had a wide hole in the middle so I had to use what looked like a checker with a hole in it so it could play. Looking back at that time, this was a 45 and it should have been played at 45, but I only knew about my Chipmunk records that played at 78, so Bobby Helms became a chipmunk, too. I played that record at 78 and until I was 10, I thought the Chipmunks recorded that song.

Rick Gura and I went on a hike once out of Kooser State Park. We followed trail makers and they turned a little different (I think we saw markers that hunters use, and guessed that they were good). We ended up on what I believe is Koring Road - nothing but farms. We saw a fellow and asked him how far it was to Bakersville... he said, "it's just over that ridge - about ten miles." Rick didn't hike with me after that.

One Saturday morning, Wendy and I witnessed a truck full of high school students drive up to a neighbor's, spending fifteens minutes and about twenty rolls of toilet paper to decorate their home and front tree. Wendy and I will still new to the neighborhood, and we were shocked that students would organize to perform this sort of vandalism. We grabbed a roll of trash bags along with an old clothes prop that was in the back yard. Wendy would try to pull the paper as gently as possible, so the longest strand of it would come down. In all, we spent about two and a half hours cleaning our neighbor's home, tree, and front yard. What we didn't know was that our neighbors were watching us from inside. As it turns out, the husband was a youth minister at a local church, and the students that TP'ed their home were his students, and this activity was an annual rite. On a later date he relayed to us that his friends vandalized his home and complete strangers cleaned it up.

Text from my daughter on father's day: "Thanks for being the greatest dad a girl could hope for."

I lived and worked in Japan for three years. I had one Japanese gentleman, a shop manager, thank me for ending the war. I told him that I personally had nothing to do with it; I wasn't even born. Then he told me part of his story - that he was a crewman in a two-man kamikaze submarine in Tokyo harbor when Hiroshima and Nagasaki were bombed. The detonations were only three days apart - August 6th and 9th, 1945. So, my friend concluded, he thanks me because he is alive today to have a conversation with me. I'm getting teary just recalling that moment. I've also been to both Peace Park in Hiroshima and Ground Zero in Nagasaki. If you find yourself in Japan, I strongly recommend going to both of these locations. If nothing else, a ride on the Shinkansen bullet train is well worth it, but I think the visit to these locations will change you. It's ironic that I reinforced my internal pacifist by being in the armed services.

We had a cat named Angel. She was a scrapper and in her heyday, she enjoyed leaping and catching birds. When we moved to Florida, Angel was already thirteen and well out of her prime. She developed a game with a little dove outside. The dove would land on one of the awning arms and Angel would devote her attention to the dove. Then the dove would flit to another awning arm, and Angel would run across the top of the sofa chasing her. This would continue for hours some days. Age caught up with Angel and we had to put her down - she was greatly dehydrated with all kinds of chemistry problems. The dove continued to land and look in our windows, looking for her friend. She would get as close to the glass as she could, but there was no Angel to join her in play. This continued for weeks, with the dove trying to get a response, but to no avail. I don't know if the dove felt remorse, but I'm certain that she felt loss. 

In the fall of 1981, Mark Pape and I took a drive from Great Lakes Naval Station in North Chicago, IL to Nuke School in Orlando, FL in his MG. We took "the scenic route" by adding stops in Lexington, KY and Stillwater, OK to the list. While in Stillwater, we went to a few of the college bars and in one of those bars was a pool table. Mark and I often played pool on the Naval base, so I saw the line of stacked quarters and added four of mine to that parade. As I watched, I could see that this guy was hustling. He would win, but barely, so the next guy would be enticed to try. The bet was $20 a game, and I watched him make $120 before my turn came up. I laid down a tight rack when I was up. He made one on the break and a couple more, but then he faltered. I took the opportunity and ran the table. He laid down another $20 and asked the next person that was to play if he could play me again. He laid down a loose rack and I sunk the eight on the break. He looked at me, astonished, and said, "you'll never do that again, " as he racked the balls. I did. He left, swearing a blue streak. Everyone took up their money and I had $60 of his money to drink with. 

My manager while working for Honeywell was David Williams. He would stand behind us while we worked and he often quipped: "oh, that's what a compile error looks like." He said it as if he had never submitted erroneous code to the compiler. 

Facebook post from my granddaughter: "You are my hero, Pappap!"

This fits into "everything becomes a story": in an early grade at St. Martin's elementary, the class was told to gather lilac stems to celebrate May, Mary's month. My entire class showed up with two or three branches and we put them in buckets that were arranged by the window. In those days, the students didn't change class, so the smell of lilacs continued to fill the room throughout the day. That was until one girl let out a sneeze. The sneeze became a fit of sneezes, followed by coughing and... well, she was allergic to lilac. And so, all the nice lilacs were gathered up and moved into an alcove off the church/gym/lunch room to protect the student. They were purposed as adornments during some of the masses during the early part of May that year. Best laid plans...

I took one helicopter ride in my life - a ship-to-ship transfer of me with a VHF radio. The boatswain mates fitted me with a cranial helmet with a visor and they told me, somehow above the din of the whirling blades, to keep my head down, and so I did. I climbed into the empty "jump seat" on the two seater. This adventure began with our command ship, the USS Duluth, having troubles communicating with the small boats as we practiced a choreographed landing. Our XO immediately volunteered me to go over there and "help them out." As I'm being strung into the seat and cinched down, I'm holding on to this radio for all I'm worth. The pilot, a Warrant Officer, looked over at me and yelled "don't touch nothing!" I nodded in agreement, and he took the plug for my helmet comms and plugged it into something on the console. With a salute, off we went! The canopy was open on either side and the floor was transparent. So, my pilot friend put us down on the deck, wave hopping with the waves cresting just below the skids. Occasionally, the chopper would yaw, due to some unforeen force, and the pilot would right it. After about 15 minutes, we were heading straight into the side of the Duluth. It didn't look like this pilot intended to get up on the flight deck, but rather, ram right into the stern quarter of the ship! At the last minute, he popped us up in slammed it down hard on the flight deck. It scared the living crap out of me! The boatswain mates came out and shorted out the static, then helped me out of the seat.harness. I was again reminded to keep my head down as I ran toward the ship's superstructure. One of the ship's ETs met me and took me up to their shop. I gave them the one that I brought and I verified it's operation before they racked it in. They had about 20 other VHF radios that were in various states, so I went through them all, fixing and aligning as needed. Two were pretty bad off, so I asked If I could take them back to the USS Mt. Vernon (my ship) to fix them up. It was about 6pm and their XO
 visited me in the ET shop asking if I was ready to return. I nodded,  and I added - "not in a helicopter, though. Put a boat in the water and get me over that way." After some haggling, they did, and the Mt. Vernon did too. The two 20 foot boats met in between the two large ships and I had to transfer from one to the other, trying to time out the swells and balancing with a radio in each hand. I made it on the first try, then we were off to the Mickey-V, the pet name for the Mt. Vernon. The boatswain mates tossed down a line and I attached the radios to it. My next feat was to climb up the rigging along the side of the ship to get onboard, Not overly gracefully, I got it done and helped stow the small boat away in it's davit once it was winched back up. By this time, it was late - 10 pm and I was starving. I took the radios up to the shop and waited for some chili-mac for midrats. 

When I was young, our neighborhood - Elliott in Pittsburgh, PA - had celebration days. They were called "the school picnic."  The celebration would be held at the West View Amusement Park. Mom would get advanced tickets for the park rides and fix up a picnic basket for us. We would get up very early in the morning and take a bus down to the trollies on Smithfield Street. Then a trolley ride out to West View. The adventure to get there was half the fun, since school friends of mine would be on the trolley, too. And when the trolley doors folded open, it was all I could do to keep holding mom's hand. We would walk past all the rides to the picnic area, and all that was going through my head was that I was missing ride time! I would give kisses to the various aunts that had preceded us to the picnic areas. Once mom was settled, I would ask the question: can I have some tickets, please? My first dose was usually five tickets, since I was a little shaver, just over 6 years old. I would run headlong down to the rides, looking for my friends where ever they could be. They had three rollercoasters, which we called "dips": the little dips, the big dips, and the racing whippet. I remember finally being tall enough for the whippet - I waited through the line ten times or better to get on the first car or the last car. It was fun, but my favorite ride was a very simple slide, called the Flying Carpet. They had hemp rugs that resembled door entry mats, and you would grab one and climb up a number of stairs to the top of the slide. Then plop the mat down on a glistening stainless steel slide and zoom - 10 seconds later, I was at the bottom, laughing my butt off. I miss this experience; it was unique. I have had jobs where there were days associated with the amusement parks, but this was community and schools, which was very different. My mom's family was large, so this was a reunion of sorts and it was the ultimate kids' fest. We would always leave before dark and I'd fall asleep on the trolley.

My earliest memory is lying in my mother's arms while she sang "That little boy of mine."

To this day, I love custard - crème brûlée, flan, custard pie, you name the custard, and I would like to have it. When growing up, we lived in a duplex home - mirror image homes on either side of a divider wall. In the kitchen, the divider wall had a door in it, but this door opened to a shallow pantry whose depth was the thickness of the wall. You could see the lath and plaster from the neighbor's home in it. The shelves were stiffeners for the opening and they were roughly 9 inches high - perfect for a climbing toddler. Well, getting back to custard, when my mom made custard, she would fill the little bowls and place them on the top shelf of this shallow pantry. On more than one occasion, mom pulled me from my escalation of the pantry shelves, while I sought the ultimate goal of warm custard!

While working for Ahlstrom Automation, I lived in Glens Falls, NY. One commissioning project that I had was for Appleton Papers in Chambersburg, PA. This was a new converting machine for carbonless copy paper - the kind used by multicolored forms. I would normally work on-site for three weeks, then take a week back at home and repeat until commissioning was done. One of the service engineers would cover for me during my absence. On one occasion in September, I drove my 1983 Renault Alliance down to the job site, noticing that the colors had just started to show yellows in the trees. I can tell you that three weeks later, the drive home was spectacular! The oranges had just begun in south central Pennsylvania, and the colors became brighter, redder, and more majestic as I cruised up I-81 through Scranton and Wilkes-Barre and changed to I-88 in Binghamton heading to Albany. Along I-88, there was a lone farmhouse to the west of the interstate that had burning bushes and a crimson maple tree. It was stellar to view in my rear view mirror. I traded over to I-87, the Northway, which had a full spectrum of colors up to my home in Glens Falls. It was one of the best drives that I have ever taken. 

The crow is a boot camp designation. The RCPO had a 1st class crow and the squad leaders, including the ARCPO, MAA and Yeoman, as second classes. I was the Yeoman. However, I had issues with my marching cadence, so I designated a guy to march for me, and he was the marching Yeoman. He filled out the paperwork for the events and training and I took it to division for the company. Because of my marching issues, I swapped duties with the MAA to present the barracks for inspection everyday. The company commander wanted the Yeoman to be his maid, so I delegated that out to another guy in the company and deemed him as the Personal Yeoman. About week 5, service week, division wanted me to report to division instead of the day to day of the company. So, I appointed another Yeoman, the Division Yeoman to appease that request. All of the Yeoman could use the courier bags so they didn't have to run everywhere and salute every ant that outranked us. They could also hit the boot camp exchange anytime they wanted. All that wheeling and dealing got me the company honorman award. After graduating bootcamp, I was elevated to ET3, a bene as part of the Nuclear Power Program that I signed up for at the recruiter. I was discharged eight years later as an ET1.

When I was about twelve, I lived with my brother and his wife on Clearfield Place in the Sheridan area of Pittsburgh. On Sundays, I would walk to church by myself. To begin, I'd take the short walk down the concrete roadway of Clearfield Place. I'd then make a left onto the asphalt of Clearfield Street. If the day was nice, I'd take a right up the asphalted red brick alley between the Fisher's and Little's homes called Ashtola Way. A short distance later, I would take the left onto Harrisburg Street and I'd walk that to it's end, which was a left onto Evanston Street, but I wouldn't take the left - instead, I'd turn to the right and follow the path down the sandstone and shale hill through the trees. This would take me to a steep hill that I would walk down to get to Kathy Drive. I'd then make a right onto McCaw Drive, which was a dead end. I would go beyond the dead end and into the woods. I would then bear to the left, since there was a very steep hill down to a somewhat busy road to the right. These woods would then clear and I would be behind the church. Getting back home was the reverse, with a tough climb between Kathy Drive and Harrisburg Street. I've always taken the road less travelled.

There's a lot of distance between Florida and Colorado where my daughter lives. Actually, she's my step-daughter, but I rarely consider the "step" part. I love her dearly. On Christmas in 2021, she sent me some pictures of my grandson (step also) opening presents that I had bought and sent through Amazon. In the background was a cello. So, I asked, "Is the cello his as well?" I was inferring that my grandson had gotten it as a present. The response floored me. My daughter replied, "Haha, actually that's mine...from you. I used my birthday Amazon gift card two years ago to get it. 😀 I was going to learn to play it and surprise you, but then covid hit and I haven't had a chance to practice much."

I once worked for a company based in Neuwied, Germany. When I started the job, I had to learn all of their systems and that called for a year in their factory, learning. There were four of us, Ian, who spoke  English and French, Bernard, who spoke French and German, Kevin, who spoke only English, and me, who was having trouble remembering the words and tenses taught to me by my grandmother so many years ago. We all took classes in German at the local Volksholschule, with Bernard in an advanced class and the rest of us in the intro level class. We pal'd around quite a bit, and we would look for restaurants that spoke English. One of the service engineers, Gordon, introduced us to Udo Klien at Im Luechttrom (the lighthouse) restaurant. Udo was bigger than life and everything was stated emphatically and with purpose. He had a beautiful wife, Anja, and daughter, Anna. One evening while sitting at his "stammtisch", we got to talking about beautiful waters and reefs and beaches. Udo exclaimed, "The Maldives!" We were perplexed. "Never is there a better seashore or reef than at the Maldives!" In order to prove it, he told us to come in Sunday night, when the restaurant was usually closed. Udo brought a slide projector and many carrousels of slides. By the end of the evening, I was sold - the Maldives were heaven on earth. The water was stunningly transparent and the sand a light beige. Every photo seemed to be better than the previous one. As a result, I have wanted to go to the Maldives since then.

Another Udo story (sort of): While sitting at the stammtisch, a table reserved for good friends of the owner, I met an older gentleman and friend of Udo's. Udo told the tale of Koblenz, which I will paraphrase. Koblenz is located where the Rhine river, a wide north-south river in the west of Germany, meets the Mosel River, and east-west tributary that flows from France and the Netherlands to the west. At the confluence, there is a park and a large pedestal that now has a German flag flying on it. It wasn't always so empty. Shortly before WWI, a statue of Kaiser Wilhelm II rested atop that pedestal. The allies used the statue as a landmark, breaking west there to the bases in France. They would also expend ordinance on it. Often, Spitfires would empty their guns at the statue, chipping away at it. Bombs would be used on targets of opportunity in and around Koblenz, typically the bridges. The older gentleman started crying. He explained that he was in WWII as a member of the regular forces. Through half-sobs, he swore that he didn't know what they were doing - but then he talked about filling trains with people that were heading east. He begged for our forgiveness. I told him that I was recently in the US Navy and I understand the "code" - follow orders, even if you don't understand them. We hugged, and we bought rounds for each other. On another night, Udo promised not to tell the story of Koblenz unless he was very sure of who was in earshot.

My favorite dish from Im Leuchttrom was the Schwein filet spiess. These were grilled pork medallions on a skewer with roma tomatoes and onion slices  alternating along the spit. They were covered with a garlic butter sauce and served with buttered small new potatoes, cut in two. My mouth waters just writing that down. Yummers!


More Udo stories that I need to write down:
Beergarten, the Roman fence, and the chainsaw. 
Kevin and the peperoni pizza



I'd like to make an admonition here: I should have stayed in school. Actually, I should have followed my love of chemistry and went for the doctorate. I realize that would have rewritten my entire life, and I really value all of my friends and my family and I would never want to do that. However, looking back over the years, I understand that I am a much better fit for academia than I am for corporate life. I find the position of Assistant Professor calling me, but I can't heed that call.  Hindsight is 20/20.

20200516 - Corona Virus Part 9

Howdy from our little tin can by the sea where Wendy and I are in self-isolation due to the corona virus. We are in good health and we have been limiting our travels outside of our home. We typically go out and pickup a few to-go meals and then eat them at home. Florida opened up a little over the past week, allowing restaurants to have people inside at 25% capacity. Beaches allowed people to enjoy them, but social distancing guidelines are in place. I posted the latest "Full Phase 1 Reopening" guidelines to the right, which go into effect on Monday. I have no idea how many phases our illustrious governor has in mind, nor if there are any partial phases or fallback contingency phases. Government plans are rarely transparent, and this is no exception. The additional oddity is the addition of the county order to the state-wide governor's order. Does that mean a municipality could have their own additions/retractions/exceptions? I'm not sure how far that goes, because eventually, you have the landowner and the family. Wendy and I plan to keep isolating at least through July. My work plans to keep offices closed at least through the end of May. I had the opportunity to take Thursday and Friday off this past week, and I have enjoyed relaxing at home. Next week, I get Friday off followed by Memorial Day the ensuing Monday. Yay!

Tomorrow, we begin a week of events for us. My birthday is tomorrow. My brother and his wife are celebrating their 50th wedding anniversary tomorrow, as well, even though the actual date isn't until the following weekend. We're planning a "Zoom-reunion" of sorts tomorrow for a couple of hours, involving a lot of the current Scheider clan. I invited our daughter and her family to tune in as well as our granddaughter. It may be the only opportunity that they have to meet the Scheiders. Monday is Tweeny Day, followed by Wendy's birthday on Tuesday. Then we have a relatively new Tweeny Day Two on Wednesday with our great-grandson's birthday on Thursday. Whew! I'll need a long weekend over Memorial day to recover. Not really, though - we don't celebrate all of that like we once did. To quote Bob Dylan: "The times, they are a-changin'."

Cases per weekDeaths per week

Let me shuffle through some numbers - Worldwide: 4,649,079 cases with 309,047 deaths; USA: 1,484,579 cases with 88,523 deaths; Florida: 44,811 cases with 1,964 deaths; Pinellas county: 997 cases with 66 deaths. I found these microcharts on Reuters and I'll include them in the weekly posts. Some of the bizarre happening this week include the State Supreme Court of Wisconsin rescinding the stay-at-home order invoked by the governor, Tony Evers. After the ruling, Evers told reporter Ali Velshi, "We're in the wild west Ali. There are no restrictions at all across the state of Wisconsin." Also, this week the test for corona virus has come under question. Research has shown that it has incorrectly reported negatives for samples that should have been positive in over 15% of the samples placed in the machine. So, in addition to the numbers being gamed for political stature, the actual test understates the number of positives. No word on a replacement test. I had mentioned last week that there are issues with the meat supply chains, and Nebraska's governor, Pete Ricketts, is doing something about it - he's no longer reporting numbers associated with meatpacking plants. New York state is also trying to open some of the more rural counties. The good states - Michigan and New Jersey with large declines in both the number of cases and the number of deaths. The bad state - Florida with a flat number of cases and a large increase in deaths. The ugly states - Arizona and Minnesota, with large increases in both the number of cases and number of deaths. We still don't understand all of the effects of COVID-19. Now, there are over 200 children experiencing a form of Kawasaki syndrome as a result of COVID-19. Even as we uncover the clotting and stokes and heart disease in addition to the known lung and autoimmune disease from COVID-19, our national government is touting a "Chutes and Ladders" style free ride through the FDA to a vaccine. The title is "Operation Warp Speed." I hope Gene Roddenberry's heirs are getting a ton of royalties every time that is invoked. The intent of the program is to have a vaccine by the end of the year. I thought about that. Vaccine by the end of the year - that would mean no control group, no blind study, no peer review - the only thing that would meet that criteria is a placebo. To have a clearer picture of what the FDA is supposed to do, look up thalidomide in the FDA history. In addition, this effort is going to be overseen by the Army and an ex-big-pharma executive that was chosen. No bids - chosen. Wen and I told one another that we don't want this vaccine. We can and will wait. Meanwhile, on the USS Roosevelt, sailors are coming down with COVID-19 after already having a bout of it. So, antibodies might not be the "thing" with this virus as compared to say, polio. 

Into the world of business. Gas went up slightly to $1.69/gal at the local 7/11. That's because more people are getting out, so demand is creeping back up. The DJIA was down over the week from 24257 on Monday morning to 23679 on Friday afternoon. The fed is concerned that there are deep issues with the economy. Unemployment is estimated at 33 million citizens. That's about 10% of the population. This past week was the one with the 12th in it, so that will be reflected in the May unemployment figures. COVID-19 is driving businesses like J.C. Penny and Neiman Marcus, who already had substantial issues, into bankruptcy. Some businesses are looking to scale back and reduce headcount, converting temporary layoffs into permanent ones. In California, Telsa is taking a different tact - they have opened despite stay-at-home orders in the state. Further, they are telling people that if they don't come to work, their unemployment will be reduced. I'm seeing this often from government figures, and now industry heads. The term is extortion. You cannot threaten; it is a felony in all states. I wish that it was enforced, but it's not, and that's cowardice. The House passed a $3 trillion dollar package for COVID-19 relief, but the senate (the ones that want the states to declare bankruptcy) said that bill is DOA. Hopefully, it becomes a strawman for the senate, rather than something brushed aside. In related news, the DOJ is looking into firms that took out small business relief as part of the CARES act. Maybe the next congressional act will include oversight.
The line it is drawn
The curse it is cast
The slow one now
Will later be fast
As the present now
Will later be past
The order is
Rapidly fadin'
And the first one now
Will later be last
For the times they are a-changin'
- Bob Dylan, "The times are a-changin'", The Times are a-Changin', 1964
 


Thursday, May 14, 2020

These belong together

These two obituaries belong together. The first is for my sister-in-law, Dorothy Jean (Lucot) Scheider who died on July 29, 2016. She had been mom to me for nearly fifty years. The second is her husband, and my brother, Paul Michael "Mick" Scheider, who passed on January 11, 2019. Mick penned the words to both of these.

Dorothy J. Scheider, age 70, of North Fayette, formerly of Sheraden, peacefully on Friday, July 29, 2016. Beloved wife of Paul "Mick" M. Scheider for over 51 years; daughter of the late John A. and Dorothy L. (Marshall) Lucot; mother of Amy L. (Regis) Schultz and Michael P. (Kathleen) Scheider; grandmother of Kayla, Madelyn, Logan, Liam and granddog, Onyx; sister of John "Jack" (Claire) Lucot and family; sister-in-law of Carl L. (Judy) Scheider and family and Steven J. (Wendy) Scheider and family; and niece, Jennifer. Lifelong best friend of Maureen McMahon. She was devoted to her family and loved all her grandchildren! All she ever wanted was "fluff". She would like to thank all her friends and family for being part of her life. Services and interment were held privately for the family. Dorothy is "Somewhere Over the Rainbow" clicking her red shoes! Arrangements entrusted to ANTHONY G. STAAB FUNERAL HOME, INC.

I want to announce that I have decided to take a long vacation! It began on Friday, January 11, 2019, at the age of 75. The most beautiful person - Dorth - left this world before me! I miss her every day! I said to her and still say to her every night "goodnight Dorth, I love you and I'll see you in the morning." To our children Amy (Rege) and Michael (Kathy) and grandchildren Kayla, Maddy, Logan and Liam you know we love you all and thank you for loving us back! We were blessed with and proud of our children and grandchildren. They are so beautiful and have grown into fine young adults. I want to thank my brothers Carl (Judy) and Steve (Wendy) and their families for putting up with my funny ways. To all of our friends and relatives thank you for being so good and thoughtful to Dorth and Me! All me and Dorth ever wanted was a couple of fine children and a wonderful life together and we enjoyed both. My wife Dorth said there is going to be a special screening of the Wizard of Oz at her beachfront condo, so I've decided to go. If anyone asks I'm on a long vacation. Always remember we are only renting this place, so you better enjoy yourself while you're here. In lieu of flowers please take your family out to dinner and give them a hug and tell them you love them! "I could've missed the pain, but I'd of had to miss the dance." As per Mick's wishes there are no visitations. Services were held privately for the family. Arrangements entrusted to ANTHONY G. STAAB FUNERAL HOME, INC.

I miss them both dearly.

Sunday, May 10, 2020

Ten albums that influenced my taste in music

Santana (1971 album) - Wikipedia
Santana 3
Crosby Stills Nash & Young - Deja Vu - Amazon.com Music
Crosby, Stills and Nash, Deja Vu
At Fillmore East - Wikipedia
Allman Brothers - Live at the Filmore East

Brian Eno, 801, Phil Manzanera - 801 Live - Amazon.com Music
801 Live

Blow by Blow - Wikipedia
Jeff Beck, Blow by blow

Simon & Garfunkel - Bridge Over Troubled Water (40th Anniversary ...
Simon and Garfunkel, Bridge over Troubled Waters

PINK FLOYD - Dark Side of the Moon - Amazon.com Music
Pink Floyd, Dark Side of the Moon

B.B. King - Completely Well - Amazon.com Music
BB King, Completely Well

In Step - Wikipedia
Stevie Ray Vaughan, In Step

The Crusaders - The Best Of The Crusaders (1976, Vinyl) | Discogs
The Crusaders, The Best of the Crusaders


Saturday, May 9, 2020

20200509 - Corona Virus Part 8

Welcome back and greetings from our tin can by the sea. Wendy and I are in good health while spending time in isolation and practicing "social distancing" from other folks. Florida is opening up more and more each week. Restaurants had inside seating this week at 25% capacity. The latest decree from the governor is that hair salons and barber shops will be open for business this coming Monday. Even though the western beaches are supposed to be for walking or biking, many locals are setting up camp for the afternoon on them. Initially, deputy sheriffs were handing out citations, but I think they have stopped that for the most part. The local Publix is still having a hard time keeping things in stock. No toilet paper this week, and meat products are minimal. There's been a breakdown in the supply chain for meats - many of the meat processing centers have people stationed elbow-to-elbow, and there were a few plants that had COVID-19 related deaths. So, the companies shut them down, only to be ordered to start them back up by the federal government. The latest player to enter this fray is the United Food and Meat Workers union, who wants better safety for their members. I smell a suit about to occur, and it will be interesting: does the president have the right to order someone to die, or at least increase their chances of death, if the person is unwilling to do so. Stay tuned...

I will chime in on the death of Ahmaud Arbery. This man lived near Satilla Shores, Georgia, just south of Brunswick. The incident occurred in February. He was jogging at the time when he encountered a white pickup parked along the double yellow lines in the center of the road. A man was by the driver's door and another was in the bed of the truck. An altercation ensued and the man originally in the truck bed shot Ahmaun Arbery at point blank range three times with a shotgun. That man was Travis McMichael. The man by the driver's side door was his father, Gregory McMichael. The man who took the video was William Bryan. In a letter to Captain Tom Jump of the Glynn County Police Department,  George Barnhill, the DA for the Waycross circuit, said that "It appears Travis McMichael, Greg McMichael, and Bryan William were following, in pursuit burglary suspect with solid first hand probable cause, in their neighborhood, and asking/telling him to stop." At this point, I had to ask, "why does William Bryan start recording the incident? What triggered him to press the record button?" According to Barnhill's letter, the three were acting in concert. Bryan knew that the two McMichael's were set up for a confrontation in the middle of the road. He knew the target was going to be this black man jogging down the road. This is first degree murder. They may not have planned it against Ahmaud Arbery, but it would have happened to the next black man coming down that road. That brings me to "justice." Ahmaud's family is calling out for justice for their son. I see a lot of this as a plea for revenge. If we wish to serve justice, then these three need to be taken off the street into cells, and Barnhill, plus the other DAs in Georgia need to be charged with complicity. You see, they set the environment that allows cases like this to get swept under the rug. This could be further taken to the Georgia Bar Association, which should be policing its own members more diligently than it apparently has been. As with Trayvon Martin, these cases will cause sensation, but little change. White men with guns will continue in the south - as will dead black men. We need to prosecute the right people to change that.

Numbers, numbers, numbers... Worldwide: 4,062,583 cases with 278,147 deaths; US: 1,322,171 cases with 78,617 deaths; Florida: 40,001 case and 1,715 deaths; Pinellas county: 828 cases with 59 deaths. I am certain that the numbers for the United States, the individual states, and the counties are being "gamed." Comments by federal officials show that they realize that the higher the numbers are, the worse it looks on them (see Goodhart's Law). So, I'm certain that all of these numbers are low balls. The one thing that won't go away are the deaths. They may ascribe the cause of death to some other bin, but the officials will have to live with the deaths being incurred through their choices and management. The policy now has become an acknowledgement that they can't beat the Corona Virus, so on to something else... like the economy. As a result, as states are opening up, more and more people are becoming infected, and this will begin to show over the next few weeks, maybe not in the COVID-19 statistics, but they will impact the reported mortality rate. Last week, we passed the milestone of the dead from COVID-19 - more killed by the virus than were killed in all of the Vietnam war. I recall the days of the Vietnam war - you knew someone who had died in the war, or you lived very near them. This virus isn't like that, it is stealthier. It picks pockets of people and kills many in that pocket - like birds of a feather, those susceptible to COVID-19 tend to reside and interact together. Take Florida, for instance. Many oldsters with various lung, heart, and intestinal ailments - should be prime opportunity; but Florida shows up as #8 on the number of cases and #10 on the number of deaths. I think those grim statistics will change once flights start again.

More numbers! A gallon of gas is holding at $1.67/gal, with a few stations showing and increase to $1.71/gal. So, there is more movement of people getting out and about. The DJIA has been up from a Monday morning open of 24108 and a Friday close of 24305. The big news this past week has been the unemployment rate. It came in at 14.7%, with 20.4 million people loosing their job during April. Many other stats are due in over the next week, and none are expected to be good. The worst part of the layoffs is that the jobs aren't coming back. Companies are using this as an opportunity to reorganize their operations and cut some employees (or S&A, as finance guys so graciously put it). I have many friends that are contractors, and they have been let go by their firms. Now they bounce between employers, working multiple freelance gigs to keep the money coming in. Remember that the numbers for unemployment are from the week with the 12th in it. Well, that's next week.
We'll be fighting in the streets
With our children at our feet
And the morals that they worship will be gone
And the men who spurred us on
Sit in judgment of all wrong
They decide and the shotgun sings the song
- Pete Townshend, The Who, "Won't get fooled again", Who's Next, 1971


Saturday, May 2, 2020

20200502 - Corona Virus Part 7

Once again, howdy from our tin can by the sea. Wendy and I have been weathering the self-isolation of the corona virus pretty well. We've made a few trips out in order to restock the pantry and to get some grub from a local take-out, but, in general, we have been in the house. Wen had a virus effect her skin, which had me worrying, but a prescription from the tele-doc has her on the road to recovery. The tele-presence doctor is something that has emerged from the corona virus. Back in February, that service was not offered by many doctors and the general public didn't use it very much. Now, tele-docs are a thing and in a big way. It makes sense - why go to a doctor's office with other sick people, when the doc can assess your ailment with you over the phone? Some things will require a follow-up at the office, but most ailments can be handled without the need for exposure. When I was going for my masters at Troy, one of the software systems that we laid out was a tele-presence doctor service. It included all the HIPAA permissions and exclusions, as well as referral from the primary, and a method to loop in specialists. It was a good sized undertaking in design, but we never built the product.

A cousin of mine started a 30 day challenge on Facebook for songs. I love music, so I've been chiming in, typically with a song from the 60s or 70s that fits the requirements. As a for-instance, yesterday's song was "a song that you like that was covered by another artist." Originally, I chose David Bowie's version of "Dancing in the Streets, " which I remember Van Halen doing as well. Well, the original song was cut by Martha Reeves and the Vandellas, and it is a very good version. Also, Bowie wasn't alone on his rendition, he preformed a duet with Mick Jagger on that song. All the proceeds from this version of the song went to Live Aid famine relief. These trips down memory lane have me feeling very nostalgic. Last night, I was looking at old "buggy" pictures from CMU in the 70s. I got excited when I saw people wearing CIA (Carnegie Involvement Association) t shirts, just like the one that I had when I swept for them my junior year. I didn't recognize anyone, because I was just a sweeper - getting leaves and trash off of the track before the runs - but it was great to "remember when."

Numbers? Let get to it - Worldwide: 3,422,480 cases with 240,337 deaths; USA: 1,132,038 cases with 65,783 deaths; Florida: 34,728 cases with 1,314 deaths; Pinellas county: 748 cases with 38 deaths. The decade factor is out to 33 days now, with the overall growth rate of COVID-19 cases at 3% day-over-day on a national basis for the US. As a math exercise, I calculated the annual growth rate using the 3% daily growth rate. It works out to an annual growth rate of 4,848,172%. States are starting to open back up, so I'm expecting these numbers to climb a bit in the coming weeks. I had thought about people getting restless and wanting life back to normal, but it seems that the driver is actually taxes. Without sales and income, states and counties aren't receiving the steady stream of revenue that they budgeted for. As a result, they went to the federal government to make up this deficit, and those in power said no, even going so far as to suggest that states declare bankruptcy. The notion of a state declaring bankruptcy is ludicrous. As it stands now, it is illegal by federal bankruptcy laws for a state to declare bankruptcy. Further, bankruptcy as a resolution to financial straits, would negatively affect state sovereignty, which is guaranteed in the constitution. In other words, the suggestion of state bankruptcy by a federal agent is an act of extortion on the state's sovereignty. I really wish that these jokers would read the document that they swore to uphold and protect.

On the economic front, unemployment rates continue to climb. Over the past six weeks, over 30 million Americans have filed for unemployment. That's nearly 10% of the total population! The next "official" report is due from the Bureau of Labor Statistics on May 8th, but it is based on telephone surveys conducted on the week containing the 12th of the month, so it won't show this overall impact. It's been a rough week for stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped from 24121 on Monday morning to 23729 on Friday afternoon.The drop came from tech trying to retool warehouses to furnish PPE and maintain social distancing. One tech, Elon Musk, wiped $14 billion (with a 'b') off of Tesla's net worth with the tweet: "Tesla stock price too high imo." I'm sure that his next board meeting will be lively. And lastly, gas is holding at $1.67/gal locally.
That love is all and love is everyone
It is knowing, it is knowing
That ignorance and hate may mourn the dead
It is believing, it is believing
- The Beatles, "Tomorrow never knows", Revolver, 1966